Tag Archives: numerical models

Harvey: The Sequels

Harvey is the storm that just would not quit. It formed in the Atlantic and died in the Caribbean. It reformed in the Bay of Campeche and now threatens the middle Texas coast as a Cat 2, potentially Cat 3 Major Hurricane. If you live on the Texas coast, between Corpus Christi and Freeport, you […]

Here We Go Again

First off there is no immediate threat to the northern Gulf Coast from the tropics. So enjoy your long Labor Day weekend and if you are with us here in the Berwick Bay Region, be sure and check out the Louisiana Shrimp and Petroleum Festival. With the southern flow, it has been a wet start […]

Models Still Show Gulf Storm

A quick update on the system shown in yesterday’s models. The latest run of the ECMWF shows the system in a bit more clarity. It is basically predicting a hurricane approaching the coast of central or western Louisiana by the end of next week. Do not worry so much about the path this far out […]

Unsettled Gulf Next Week?

Now we all know that models are nothing more than numerical predictions and they get less accurate the farther out we go. But there are some things we can look to when determining whether a given model output has any merit. For instance, when several of the major models have the same or similar outputs, […]