Monthly Archives: September 2015
A Saving Grace in Gulf? Or Not?
On one hand, the daunted ECMWF European model has finally backed off on spinning up a storm in the southwest Gulf early next week. It has not abandoned the idea by any means, but is having trouble deciding where the energy might coalesce into a tropical system. Several other models are sticking with something in the […]
Models Still Show Gulf Storm
A quick update on the system shown in yesterday’s models. The latest run of the ECMWF shows the system in a bit more clarity. It is basically predicting a hurricane approaching the coast of central or western Louisiana by the end of next week. Do not worry so much about the path this far out […]
Unsettled Gulf Next Week?
Now we all know that models are nothing more than numerical predictions and they get less accurate the farther out we go. But there are some things we can look to when determining whether a given model output has any merit. For instance, when several of the major models have the same or similar outputs, […]