Tag Archives: ECMWF
99L Update Delayed
I will be updating the progress of 99L today but will hold off until later this afternoon for a couple of reasons. First, 99L has shown signs of life over the past few hours with big storms starting to go up around the center. I want to see of these persist, as there is still […]
99L is a Fighter: Next 36 hours make the difference!
Here is the Thursday update on the “little system that could,” good ole Invest 99L. If anything, the system looks worse than it did yesterday at this time. But there are some subtle signs things may be about to change. First off there is now a low-level closed circulation obvious on the visible satellite images. […]
Invest 99L is Definitely a Paradox
Since I have had a couple of inquiries about Investigation 99L, the system currently passing through the northern Antilles, I guess this is as good a time as any to initiate coverage. I will apologize right now for a long post, but this is a complex system. Here is what we know as of noon […]
A Saving Grace in Gulf? Or Not?
On one hand, the daunted ECMWF European model has finally backed off on spinning up a storm in the southwest Gulf early next week. It has not abandoned the idea by any means, but is having trouble deciding where the energy might coalesce into a tropical system. Several other models are sticking with something in the […]
Models Still Show Gulf Storm
A quick update on the system shown in yesterday’s models. The latest run of the ECMWF shows the system in a bit more clarity. It is basically predicting a hurricane approaching the coast of central or western Louisiana by the end of next week. Do not worry so much about the path this far out […]